{"id":28027,"date":"2026-07-14T14:38:49","date_gmt":"2026-07-14T17:38:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/serrafm879.com.br\/serrafm\/?p=28027"},"modified":"2026-07-14T14:39:47","modified_gmt":"2026-07-14T17:39:47","slug":"pesquisa-conecta-em-pernambuco-raquel-lyra-lidera-cenario-com-lula-coloca-joao-campos-na-frente","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/serrafm879.com.br\/serrafm\/2026\/07\/pesquisa-conecta-em-pernambuco-raquel-lyra-lidera-cenario-com-lula-coloca-joao-campos-na-frente\/","title":{"rendered":"Pesquisa Conecta em Pernambuco: Raquel Lyra lidera; cen\u00e1rio com Lula coloca Jo\u00e3o Campos na frente."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>O Instituto de Pesquisa Conecta divulgou um novo levantamento sobre a disputa pelo Governo de Pernambuco. Os resultados mostram cen\u00e1rios distintos para a elei\u00e7\u00e3o de 2026: na pesquisa espont\u00e2nea, a governadora Raquel Lyra aparece na lideran\u00e7a das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto. J\u00e1 no cen\u00e1rio estimulado, em que os candidatos s\u00e3o apresentados ao eleitor juntamente com seus respectivos padrinhos pol\u00edticos nacionais, o prefeito do Recife, Jo\u00e3o Campos, assume a dianteira na prefer\u00eancia do eleitorado.<\/p>\n<h6 data-path-to-node=\"3\"><strong>Raquel Lyra lidera cen\u00e1rio espont\u00e2neo<\/strong><\/h6>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"4\">No levantamento de inten\u00e7\u00e3o de voto espont\u00e2nea, modalidade em que os nomes dos postulantes n\u00e3o s\u00e3o apresentados aos entrevistados, Raquel Lyra aparece numericamente \u00e0 frente na prefer\u00eancia dos eleitores, seguida por Jo\u00e3o Campos. No entanto, a parcela de eleitores que declararam n\u00e3o saber ou preferiram n\u00e3o responder ainda representa o maior grupo neste cen\u00e1rio.<\/p>\n<ul data-path-to-node=\"5\">\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"5,0,0\">Raquel Lyra: 29,2%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"5,1,0\">Jo\u00e3o Campos: 24,6%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"5,2,0\">N\u00e3o sabe \/ N\u00e3o respondeu (NS\/NR): 42,1%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"5,3,0\">Brancos e Nulos: 3,6%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"5,4,0\"><i data-path-to-node=\"5,4,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Outros nomes citados:<\/i>\u00a0Ivan Morais (0,2%), Lula (0,1%), Renan Hallais (0,1%) e Neto (0,1%).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h6 data-path-to-node=\"3\"><strong>Raquel Lyra lidera cen\u00e1rio\u00a0estimulado<\/strong><\/h6>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"5\">No cen\u00e1rio estimulado b\u00e1sico para o primeiro turno, a atual governadora lidera numericamente, mas se encontra em situa\u00e7\u00e3o de empate t\u00e9cnico com o gestor da capital, considerando a margem de erro de<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><b data-path-to-node=\"5\" data-index-in-node=\"198\">2,19 pontos percentuais<\/b>:<\/p>\n<ul data-path-to-node=\"6\">\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"6,0,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"6,0,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Raquel Lyra:<\/b><span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span>42,4%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"6,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"6,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Jo\u00e3o Campos:<\/b><span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span>40,4%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"6,2,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"6,2,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Ivan Morais:<\/b><span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span>0,4%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"6,3,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"6,3,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Brancos e Nulos:<\/b><span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span>8,7%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"6,4,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"6,4,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">N\u00e3o sabe \/ N\u00e3o respondeu (NS\/NR):<\/b><span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span>8,1%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"6,0\">Registro oficial: Esta pesquisa espont\u00e2nea est\u00e1 registrada no Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) sob o n\u00ba PE-04263\/2026.<\/p>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"9\">Em um segundo cen\u00e1rio testado (estimulado), no qual os entrevistados avaliam os candidatos acompanhados de seus respectivos apoios pol\u00edticos (Cen\u00e1rio 2), o panorama se inverte. Associado ao presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva, Jo\u00e3o Campos lidera as inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto, superando Raquel Lyra, que neste cen\u00e1rio \u00e9 associada ao senador Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro.<\/p>\n<ul data-path-to-node=\"10\">\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"10,0,0\">Jo\u00e3o Campos (com apoio de Lula): 47,5%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"10,1,0\">Raquel Lyra (com apoio de Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro): 34,1%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"10,2,0\">Brancos e Nulos: 10,5%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"10,3,0\">N\u00e3o sabe \/ N\u00e3o respondeu (NS\/NR): 7,9%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"14\">As pesquisas contaram com amostras representativas do eleitorado pernambucano e trazem as seguintes especifica\u00e7\u00f5es t\u00e9cnicas divulgadas pelo instituto:<\/p>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"14\"><span class=\"\">A pesquisa quantitativa foi realizada presencialmente pelo Instituto Conecta com uma amostra de 2.<\/span><span class=\"\">000 entrevistados em todo o estado de Pernambuco,<\/span><span class=\"\">\u00a0apresentando um grau de confian\u00e7a de 95% e margem de erro m\u00e1xima estimada em 2,<\/span><span class=\"\">19% (com men\u00e7\u00e3o a 2,<\/span><span class=\"\">14% no detalhamento do instituto).<\/span><span class=\"\">\u00a0No cen\u00e1rio espont\u00e2neo,<\/span><span class=\"\">\u00a0o per\u00edodo de campo ocorreu entre os dias 08 e 11 de julho,<\/span><span class=\"\">\u00a0sob o registro no TSE n\u00ba PE-04263\/2026.<\/span><span class=\"\">\u00a0J\u00e1 no cen\u00e1rio estimulado com apoios pol\u00edticos,<\/span><span class=\"\">\u00a0o registro consta sob o n\u00ba PE-05044\/2026,<\/span><span class=\"\">\u00a0com per\u00edodo de realiza\u00e7\u00e3o indicado entre os dias 19 e 22 de junho de 2026 (embora o texto de divulga\u00e7\u00e3o geral cite o per\u00edodo de julho).<\/span><\/p>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"14\">Fonte: Blog J\u00fanior Campos<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>O Instituto de Pesquisa Conecta divulgou um novo levantamento sobre a disputa pelo Governo de Pernambuco. Os resultados mostram cen\u00e1rios distintos para a elei\u00e7\u00e3o de 2026: na pesquisa espont\u00e2nea, a governadora Raquel Lyra aparece na lideran\u00e7a das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto. J\u00e1 no cen\u00e1rio estimulado, em que os candidatos s\u00e3o apresentados ao eleitor juntamente com seus respectivos padrinhos pol\u00edticos nacionais, o prefeito do Recife, Jo\u00e3o Campos, assume a dianteira na prefer\u00eancia do eleitorado. Raquel Lyra lidera cen\u00e1rio espont\u00e2neo No levantamento de inten\u00e7\u00e3o de voto espont\u00e2nea, modalidade em que os nomes dos postulantes n\u00e3o s\u00e3o apresentados aos entrevistados, Raquel Lyra aparece numericamente [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":27865,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[297],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-28027","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-eleicoes-2026"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Pesquisa Conecta em Pernambuco: Raquel Lyra lidera; cen\u00e1rio com Lula coloca Jo\u00e3o Campos na frente. - Serra FM 87,9<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Serra FM - Todo Mundo Ouve!\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/serrafm879.com.br\/serrafm\/2026\/07\/pesquisa-conecta-em-pernambuco-raquel-lyra-lidera-cenario-com-lula-coloca-joao-campos-na-frente\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pesquisa Conecta em Pernambuco: Raquel Lyra lidera; cen\u00e1rio com Lula coloca Jo\u00e3o Campos na frente. - Serra FM 87,9\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Serra FM - Todo Mundo Ouve!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/serrafm879.com.br\/serrafm\/2026\/07\/pesquisa-conecta-em-pernambuco-raquel-lyra-lidera-cenario-com-lula-coloca-joao-campos-na-frente\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Serra FM 87,9\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-07-14T17:38:49+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-07-14T17:39:47+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/serrafm879.com.br\/wp-content\/themes\/serrafm\/img\/xlogo-serra-fm.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"serrafm87\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Escrito por\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"serrafm87\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. tempo de leitura\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutos\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/serrafm879.com.br\\\/serrafm\\\/2026\\\/07\\\/pesquisa-conecta-em-pernambuco-raquel-lyra-lidera-cenario-com-lula-coloca-joao-campos-na-frente\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/serrafm879.com.br\\\/serrafm\\\/2026\\\/07\\\/pesquisa-conecta-em-pernambuco-raquel-lyra-lidera-cenario-com-lula-coloca-joao-campos-na-frente\\\/\",\"name\":\"Pesquisa Conecta em Pernambuco: Raquel Lyra lidera; 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